{"id":12245,"date":"2026-07-06T10:10:29","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T09:10:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/?p=12245"},"modified":"2026-07-06T10:10:30","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T09:10:30","slug":"espana-mantendra-el-crecimiento-economico-pese-a-la-guerra-aunque-con-mayor-presion-sobre-la-inflacion-y-el-consumo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/?p=12245","title":{"rendered":"Espa\u00f1a mantendr\u00e1 el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico pese a la guerra, aunque con mayor presi\u00f3n sobre la inflaci\u00f3n y el consumo"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9b6db54c4dbdcc6aa2e3336abab472e1 wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>El transporte, la agricultura y la industria qu\u00edmica seguir\u00e1n siendo los sectores m\u00e1s afectados en un escenario de altos costes energ\u00e9ticos<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola seguir\u00e1 creciendo pese al impacto del conflicto en Ir\u00e1n, aunque afrontar\u00e1 un escenario marcado por una&nbsp;mayor presi\u00f3n inflacionista, unos&nbsp;tipos de&nbsp;inter\u00e9s m\u00e1s elevados y un consumo m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil. Esa es la principal conclusi\u00f3n del \u00faltimo&nbsp;<em>Consenso Econ\u00f3mico y Empresarial<\/em>&nbsp;correspondiente al segundo trimestre, elaborado por PwC a partir de las respuestas de m\u00e1s de 450 empresarios, directivos y analistas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El informe destaca que&nbsp;la econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola ha mostrado una notable capacidad de resistencia en un contexto geopol\u00edtico&nbsp;especialmente adverso y continuar\u00e1 situ\u00e1ndose entre las m\u00e1s din\u00e1micas de la zona euro. Precisamente esta semana&nbsp;el Gobierno actualiz\u00f3 su cuadro macro&nbsp;mejorando en cuatro d\u00e9cimas su anterior previsi\u00f3n, antes del inicio de la guerra en Oriente Medio. Seg\u00fan sus c\u00e1lculos,&nbsp;el Ejecutivo conf\u00eda en que Espa\u00f1a terminar\u00e1 el a\u00f1o con un crecimiento del 2,6%&nbsp;y mantendr\u00e1 el ritmo los pr\u00f3ximos ejercicios: un 2,2% para el 2027 y por encima del 2% de cara al 2028 y el 2029.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;Frente a este optimismo,&nbsp;los expertos advierten de que la guerra tendr\u00e1 efectos econ\u00f3micos, principalmente a trav\u00e9s del encarecimiento de los precios. En concreto, el 44% de los participantes considera que el conflicto afectar\u00e1 m\u00e1s a la inflaci\u00f3n que al crecimiento econ\u00f3mico, frente a un 8% que cree que el mayor impacto recaer\u00e1 sobre el Producto Interior Bruto (PIB). Adem\u00e1s, el 69% anticipa que la incertidumbre econ\u00f3mica y geopol\u00edtica se prolongar\u00e1, al menos, hasta el 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6cc1f3817c51f1bb48eb81a5b7998abd wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>El petr\u00f3leo como term\u00f3metro<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Respecto al mercado energ\u00e9tico, casi tres de cada cuatro expertos (73%) prev\u00e9n que el precio del petr\u00f3leo se modere una vez superado el pico provocado por el conflicto, aunque&nbsp;no regresar\u00e1 a los niveles anteriores al estallido de la guerra. Por sectores, transporte, agricultura e industria qu\u00edmica aparecen como las actividades m\u00e1s expuestas al aumento de los costes energ\u00e9ticos y a las tensiones derivadas del conflicto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Desde PwC tambi\u00e9n apuntan a las consecuencias de un cambio en la pol\u00edtica fiscal europea. El 78% de los encuestados considera que Bruselas acabar\u00e1 flexibilizando las reglas fiscales y aceptando niveles m\u00e1s elevados de deuda p\u00fablica estructural para hacer frente al&nbsp;nuevo contexto econ\u00f3mico y geopol\u00edtico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>La Voz de Galicia \u2013 5 de Julio 2026<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El transporte, la agricultura y la industria qu\u00edmica seguir\u00e1n siendo los sectores m\u00e1s afectados en un escenario de altos costes energ\u00e9ticos La econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola seguir\u00e1 creciendo pese al impacto del conflicto en Ir\u00e1n, aunque afrontar\u00e1 un escenario marcado por una&nbsp;mayor presi\u00f3n inflacionista, unos&nbsp;tipos de&nbsp;inter\u00e9s m\u00e1s elevados y un consumo m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil. Esa es la principal [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-noticias"],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"UAHE","author_link":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/?author=1"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"El transporte, la agricultura y la industria qu\u00edmica seguir\u00e1n siendo los sectores m\u00e1s afectados en un escenario de altos costes energ\u00e9ticos La econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola seguir\u00e1 creciendo pese al impacto del conflicto en Ir\u00e1n, aunque afrontar\u00e1 un escenario marcado por una&nbsp;mayor presi\u00f3n inflacionista, unos&nbsp;tipos de&nbsp;inter\u00e9s m\u00e1s elevados y un consumo m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil. Esa es la principal&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12245","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12245"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12245\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12246,"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12245\/revisions\/12246"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uahe.es\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}